#prediction markets

Polymarket’s “cease-fire lasting at least 14 days” contract just dropped 10% ...

The probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the next FOMC meeting is...

Over the past 72 hours, the Polymarket contract for 'GPT-6 release by...

Twenty-seven percent. That is the current implied probability of a Fed rate c...

Yesterday, a prediction market flashed a single number: 29%. That is the...

The Kalshi prediction market just flashed a warning signal. Traders are betti...

Hook: A Contradiction in the Ledger The data tells a story that no central ba...

Two cargo vessels hit in Odesa. One number: 8.5%. That's the probability the...

The Polymarket contract for 'Iran attacks Israel before July 22' sits at 78%....

Tracing the hidden vulnerabilities in the code, I’ve learned to distrust...

The probability of a US-Iran diplomatic agreement by the end of 2026 sits at...

Hook Over the past 7 days, one crucial data point got buried under the hype:...

I didn’t expect to wake up to Coinbase’s Canada expansion news and feel… bore...

On July 22, 2024, a Capitol Hill hearing exposed the deepening fault lines...

The numbers do not lie, they whisper. A prediction market currently prices th...

The curve bends, but the logic holds firm. On-chain data displays a clean...

A prediction market just priced the probability of a nuclear deal at 1.6%. No...

The data indicates a market probability of 11.5% for Houthi military action...

We are told the US has bombed Iranian military sites for eight consecutive...

Polymarket is pricing the normalization of Strait of Hormuz traffic by August...

Between the blocks, silence screams the truth. The Strait of Hormuz...

The bond market is dead. Long live the prediction market. On July 17,...

Hook Q2 2026 volume hit $113.8 billion. Headlines scream 'prediction market...

In the chaos of a simmering geopolitical storm, we find our coldest truth: a...

Gas is the toll for chaos. That headline isn’t a metaphor. It’s a funding rat...

Charts lie. Liquidity speaks. Yesterday, a fuel vessel burned off the coast o...

The data shows a 99.9% probability. A near-certainty, mathematically perfect,...

"Tracing the code back to its chaotic genesis..." The dismissal of Ukraine's...

Hook On March 25th, a single prediction market contract on Polymarket flashed...

The CFTC’s probe into Kalshi for insider trading—specifically around Donald...

A single number on a smart contract—26.5%—now sits as the most quantifiable...

On a prediction market slate, the probability of a final Iran nuclear agreeme...

Trace the binary decay. Lookonchain flagged a wallet on Thursday. The address...

A whisper is making the rounds in the corridors of power: FIFA is considering...

The whistle blew. France advanced to the World Cup semi-final. Within hours,...

The data suggests a market exists on Polymarket offering 3% odds on a U.S....

The match kicks off in six hours. At a cafe in Tallinn, a friend refreshes...

The data shows Hanwha Life Esports swept G2 Esports 3-0 in the MSI 2026 upper...

Hook: The Price Action Anomaly You Missed The numbers looked too good....

The Polymarket Mirage: Why 65% Probability for $70K BTC Is a Trap, Not a Sign...

Hook Spotify’s legal team just did what no smart contract audit could: expose...

Over the past 72 hours, the Valorant community has been buzzing: FrosT, a...

The European Securities and Markets Authority just made a statement. It was n...

Over the past 7 days, a prediction market protocol lost 40% of its liquidity...